The HBM4 race: where SK hynix, Samsung and Micron stand in October 2026

TechTech

The HBM4 race: where SK hynix, Samsung and Micron stand in October 2026

Rows of microchips on a dark circuit board
Photo by Tima Miroshnichenko on Pexels

Three companies make the HBM that feeds AI chips. What each says about HBM4, what Bernstein's export-data estimate claims, and what's still unknown.

In this article
  1. The standard
  2. Samsung
  3. SK hynix
  4. Micron
  5. The Bernstein estimate (reported, not confirmed)
  6. Why it matters

Every top AI accelerator needs HBM, and only three companies make it at scale. Here's where each stands on HBM4, using what they've said themselves, plus one big analyst estimate.

New to HBM? Start with HBM explained or GDDR7 vs GDDR6 vs HBM.

The standard

JEDEC's HBM4 standard (Apr 16, 2025) specifies a 2048-bit interface at up to 8Gb/s, for up to 2TB/s per stack. Vendors can and do go faster.

Samsung

On Feb 12, 2026, Samsung said it had begun HBM4 mass production and shipped commercial products, calling it an industry first. Its claims:

  • 11.7Gbps per pin consistently, up to 13Gbps
  • Up to 3.3TB/s per stack
  • 24GB to 36GB with 12-layer stacks; up to 48GB with 16 layers later
  • Built on its 1c DRAM process with a 4nm logic base die
  • Expected HBM sales to more than triple in 2026 vs 2025
  • HBM4E sampling expected in 2H26

SK hynix

In its Q2 2026 results (Jul 29), SK hynix said:

  • It began mass shipments of HBM4 in Q2 and would ramp production in 2H26.
  • HBM4 hit customer-required speeds with what it called industry-leading power efficiency.
  • HBM4E sample shipments were completed in the first half.
  • It has long-term agreements with around 10 customers.

Q2 revenue was 79.3187 trillion won, with 60.5426 trillion won of operating profit. Its Q3 report is set for Oct 28; see our SK hynix Q3 preview.

Micron

On Micron's Sept 30, 2026 earnings call, per the Motley Fool transcript:

  • CTO Scott DeBoer said Micron has worked with NVIDIA for over a year on a co-designed HBM4E it called "NV HBM," describing it as "the first major custom HBM product out in the market."
  • Management said HBM pricing was increased significantly for calendar 2027.
  • On share, management said Micron expects HBM share to be around its broader DRAM share, without a fixed target.
  • It's preparing to ramp an HBM facility in Singapore next year.

Micron's full results are in Micron's record FQ4.

The Bernstein estimate (reported, not confirmed)

As reported by Investing.com on Oct 22, 2026, Bernstein used Korean regional export data to estimate Q3 2026 HBM revenue:

  • Samsung: about $8.7B, up 33% QoQ (10% below Bernstein's earlier forecast)
  • SK hynix: about $7.6B, up 11% QoQ

Bernstein reads that as Samsung passing SK hynix, and its "value per weight" metric suggests a Samsung lead in HBM4 pricing. This is a model based on export data, not company-reported numbers. SK hynix reports Q3 on Oct 28, which will be the first real check.

Why it matters

HBM supply sets how many AI accelerators can ship. TrendForce expects HBM to stay supply-constrained in 2027, with blended prices projected up 121% YoY. Some chip designers are weighing 8-high stacks to stretch supply. That's the backdrop for why RAM is so expensive for everyone else.

FAQ

Who makes HBM4?

The three big DRAM makers: SK hynix, Samsung and Micron. All three have discussed HBM4 or HBM4E products publicly in 2026.

Did Samsung overtake SK hynix in HBM?

Bernstein estimates it did in Q3 2026 by revenue, using export data, as reported by Investing.com on Oct 22, 2026. Neither company had reported Q3 results at the time. SK hynix reports on Oct 28 (Seoul time).

How fast is Samsung's HBM4?

Samsung says 11.7Gbps per pin consistently, up to 13Gbps, and up to 3.3TB/s per stack. JEDEC's HBM4 standard specifies up to 8Gb/s.

Why is HBM so expensive?

Supply is tight. TrendForce expects HBM to stay supply-constrained in 2027, with blended prices projected up 121% YoY.

Sources

  1. Samsung Global Newsroom, “Samsung Ships Industry-First Commercial HBM4 With Ultimate Performance for AI Computing” (Feb 12, 2026)https://news.samsung.com/global/samsung-ships-industry-first-commercial-hbm4-with-ultimate-performance-for-ai-computing
  2. SK hynix Newsroom, “SK hynix Announces 2Q26 Financial Results” (Jul 29, 2026)https://news.skhynix.com/en/q2-2026-business-results/
  3. The Motley Fool, Micron (MU) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (Oct 1, 2026)https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/10/01/micron-mu-q4-2026-earnings-call-transcript/
  4. Investing.com, “Bernstein says Samsung overtook SK hynix in HBM revenue in 3Q26” (Oct 22, 2026)https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/bernstein-says-samsung-overtook-sk-hynix-in-hbm-revenue-in-3q26-93CH-4965188
  5. JEDEC, “JESD270-4 HBM4 Standard” (Apr 16, 2025)https://www.jedec.org/news/pressreleases/jedec%C2%AE-and-industry-leaders-collaborate-release-jesd270-4-hbm4-standard-advancing
  6. TrendForce, “HBM Supply Constraints Persist, 2027 Price Outlook Revised Upward...” (Sept 29, 2026)https://www.trendforce.com/presscenter/news/20260929-13255.html

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